How can shuttle missions be this way?
in The Bridge
During this current event I have lost 2 95% missions, 2 97% missions, and just now a 98% mission. I think there was a 93% loss in there somewhere too...
How can it be possible to get this unlucky?
I’m not running hundreds of missions so that some unlucky breaks could happen.
This is the first faction event I have pushed to compete in in forever.
I am using boosts & extra shuttles and only running 3 person missions so that all my shuttle success rates are 92% or above - and I still have this kind of failure rate?
It’s soul crushing in a game that’s supposed to be a fun diversion.
How can it be possible to get this unlucky?
I’m not running hundreds of missions so that some unlucky breaks could happen.
This is the first faction event I have pushed to compete in in forever.
I am using boosts & extra shuttles and only running 3 person missions so that all my shuttle success rates are 92% or above - and I still have this kind of failure rate?
It’s soul crushing in a game that’s supposed to be a fun diversion.
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Comments
Don't despair, it does get better as you build better crew. For example, I have 28 gold event crew for this event. About 10 of them are 5/5. (Carlos is negligible, at 1/5 he has missed a couple shuttles.) And add in a Dixon Hill (almost useless compared to the rest of the gold crew BTW)
I have similar shuttle % as you do, and all but 1 of mine has succeeded (that was an ill-advised 8th shuttle at one point to try to jump ahead,) and I have (barely) been holding rank of around 350.
Yes, it is VERY frustrating until you build up crew, believe me, after over 4 years of it, I wanted to throw my tablet out the window a couple of times.
Hang in there!
That seems odd to me. Were they all event crew? The only shuttle fail I have had was with non-event crew.
I even have 2 copies of Kira & 3 of Dixon Hill
I found it odd, but just put it down to bad RNG. Just have to shake my head and carry one, but it has definitely felt like more fails than I normally get.
Because the percents that DB/TP uses are not accurate. They use a RNG which always messes up the percentages. Almost like rolling a number then rolling again to see if you really got that first number. lol
We can’t send out 10,000 shuttles though for each event to get it to even out. There will never be a streak where we have 1000 90% shuttles pass in a row.
And it shouldn’t be pure math anyway. It should be “How much effort can I put in to insure success & eliminate frustration”
Imagine studying & getting a 97% on a test and find out you still failed? That’s the more accurate dynamic. I have been saving up boosts for months (like studying for the test) decided to push in a shuttle event, and my efforts were being wasted through no fault of my own. You should be able to guarantee success in a shuttle mission at some point. The three hours spent waiting is enough of a time management effort.
And I think 97% should be that threshold. That should be close enough to insure success. A billion out of a billion 97% missions should pass. Either that or make it so there are boosts & shuttle participant combinations that can reach 100%.
People pushing to compete for rank are all subject to the same RNG fluctuations provided by the shuttle governing formulas/algorithms/etc.
Having operated both of my accounts this last event I can tell you that my main failed several 98% missions, and my alt passed WAY more 55% missions than it should have. To quote the late, great Neil Peart, "The odds get even."
The playing field is level for everyone.
While effort does influence some aspects of the game (i.e. sending out numbers of shuttles, using varied boosts to increase odds, less sleep, etc.), that still isn’t a guarantee for anything. And, to use your analogy, depending on the curve of a grading scale or the type of assessment, a 97 could be a failing score. It’s unlikely, but possible... Oscar Wilde said it best, “It’s not enough that you succeed, others must fail.” We can’t all be at the top of the ladder. We all wish we fared better at times, and there will be other events and chances for success.
People dismissively said similar things about the various shuttle bugs (like ANDGate) and the Frozen Gauntleteer bug. inquiring minds want to know many 0% shuttles should succeed if u sent 1,000 or 10,000?? 🤗
The only thing that is "normal and not unusual" is the pRNG in this casino is of terrible quality and more often bugged than people tend to realize. A couple of galaxies back I tracked every 96% rare drop over 1000 attempts and had an actual percentage of 78%.
But I didn't bother to report it, because TP/WRG, like DB before them, doesn't really care. And I didn't previously make a big deal of it on the forum because I don't need people who don't understand data science spouting off Pollyanna-ish nonsense.
Part of the price of playing this game is accepting that it is poorly coded, will cheat you from time to time, and there's nothing you can do but stop playing.