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Does crew stats really matter when it comes to winning battle in gauntlet?
This screenshot clearly shows gauntlet battles are toss up and crew stats play very little if anything in outcome of battle.
Both are 25% for this battle, while the stats of kor i did battle with my be higher do to clan bonuses they weren't that much higher than the proficiency stats of kor in screenshot above, Kahless proficiency at 223-614 is atleast 2x that of Kor's proficiency.
I have had multiple losses where my crews stats were 3 and even 4 times that of the opponents crew, the majority of the losses come on streaks of 3, 6, 9, 12 etc.
I will add before anyone ask, yes my crew/ kahless was at 100%
Both are 25% for this battle, while the stats of kor i did battle with my be higher do to clan bonuses they weren't that much higher than the proficiency stats of kor in screenshot above, Kahless proficiency at 223-614 is atleast 2x that of Kor's proficiency.
I have had multiple losses where my crews stats were 3 and even 4 times that of the opponents crew, the majority of the losses come on streaks of 3, 6, 9, 12 etc.
I will add before anyone ask, yes my crew/ kahless was at 100%
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Kahless was fatigued. (He already had battled at least one round in gauntlet before this battle.
Also you do not know the starbase boost of your opponent.
People have to remember when the chance to Crit is equal. The crit chance makes the odds closer to 50 50. That is there is an equal chance for your opponent to crit once more than you. This works against you when your stats are better and for you when your stats are not better.
Kahless was not fatigued, this lose was on third battle with this being kahless first battle, two seperate crew were used in two previous battles.
I couldn't remember opponents stats and has i said in original post while the stats of kor i did battle with may be higher do to clan bonuses they weren't that much higher than the proficiency stats of kor in screenshot above nor would they be much higher even if opponent had maxed startbase
Based on your screenshot, Kahless was clearly fatigued as 2 out of his 3 SEC proficiency rolls (152 & 197) were below his minimum SEC proficiency range (223) when healthy.
EDIT: If I do some math, that 152 roll means Kahless had played at least 2 Gauntlet battles previously because the 1st battle would lower his minimum roll to 178 (80% of 223) so it would take a 2nd battle to lower his minimum roll below 152 (80% of 178 equals 142).
His min SEC roll per your own screenshot is 223 and he got rolls of 152, 197 and 228. The first two would not be possible if he was at 100% - either he was fatigued, or you equipped him subsequently.
As for your question, crew stats certainly matter, but there is also the element of random chance. There's always the risk of losing a mismatch - just as there's a chance of winning one, but the latter rarely gets mentioned.
You do make an important point. I have finished equipping people who are already in gauntlet. Their stats are not based on their current equipped state, but on what they were when they were put into the gauntlet originally.
Let's just say the opponent's Kor's proficiency was the same as your Kor ... 105 - 253 ...
Your opponent actually LOW ROLLED on all three rolls!
The average roll of a spread of 105 - 253 = 105 + (253-105)/2 = 179 ...
Furthermore ... this gives an average expected score of 537-540 if we do not take any crits into account and if we do take crit chance it is 671-674
(if I am not mistaken - (the chance of no-crit * average + chance of crit * average score) * 3 = (0,75*179 + 0,25*2*179)*3 ).
All three rolls were below average ... with the crit coming on the lowest roll of all ... 310/2 = 155.
EDIT: Added a range to the expected score because I forgot about the possible three extra points a player can get if their crew does not have that proficiency ... in this example, Kor got a +2 to his score.
Why did this make me laugh so hard
I've lost rounds where my opponent's 5% would crit 3 times with 3 skills against my 25% 6 skills crew that did not crit. This will definitely happen to you eventually.
And because you won't attempt the massive underdog matches you'll be convinced the odds always go against you.
I play to lose quite a lot, particularly when temporary achievements are there. I can't believe how often I win a match up I think I will lose. I mean what are the odds? </rhetorical question>
And on what are you basing this on?
A very detailed report written by special guest star Lieutenant Commander Brian Dennehy’s Daughter.