300 (and 2) Event Packs Later...

[TUFG] Siguard

Just in case y'all were curious, I've pulled 302 event packs and make a pretty decent Drop Rate table.

Speckles the Destroyer of Worlds

For almost $2000 worth of IAP, I'm pretty underwhelmed. Thanks for doing this for science.

Astrometrics

Awesome data, Sigurd!

(CSF) Jesus Is Lord [••••]

Oh great...those odds don't look so good for me...thank you though.

{SST}WeAreBorg

Great post Siguard, from someone who has pulled many packs this data also follows closely to my results and many other posts we have seen. Very nice to see the info organized so nicely, well done.

This Sisko1

Great data! Most of the times I would rage quit to keep track

{DD} Capt Jello

Hey Siguard... glad you're still around!

So, 241,200 Honor for you (Not counting 5* airlocks)? Do you really have that much $$ to spend on 200k dilithium to do these stats?

Can you pass me one of those Leonardos? Just 1...

[TUFG] Doctor X

If you go his wiki page it is even clearer: https://stt.wiki/wiki/User:Siguard

[BL] Q

Thanks for doing a drop test out of curiourisity how long did it take to dismiss crew?

Be great if you could select multiple crew and dismiss in one go

[TUFG] Siguard

[BL] Q wrote: »

Thanks for doing a drop test out of curiourisity how long did it take to dismiss crew?

Be great if you could select multiple crew and dismiss in one go

Ugh, it was hours.

One day, that will be a thing and I will be so happy....

DScottHewitt

(CSF) Jesus Is Lord wrote: »

Oh great...those odds don't look so good for me...thank you though.

But, didn't someone just pull TWO Da Vincis in ONE Ten Pull in the Event Pack for this week?


Scott


EDIT TO ADD:


Looks like it was Prince Valium?

Jim Raynor

Nice!

I'm just curious, did you keep track of the 4* event crew as well? Is the chance 50/50 (or 45/45 with the ~10% chance for a 5*)

esch

Thanks for sharing this. Were you able to keep track of any difference between Event Packs with 1 Legendary and Event Packs with 2 Legendaries?

Was wondering if the chance of ANY Event Legendary was better (not double, just better) when there were two. Or if all signs pointed to the same %.

Ikrit

On his wiki user page, the table for the pulls shows the chances of getting a pack that drops only that item. What I love is that the the odds of getting only "other 5* crew" is 1-in-1.8E+25. For those of you who are not inclined to (computer) scientific notation, that is 18 followed by 24 zeros, or 1-in-18,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. The odds of getting only 5* event crew is 2.3E+19. All according to statistics, of course.

Does this info account for any issues in event packs, such as receiving Augment Picard instead of Admiral Picard during the Borg mega-event?

[TUFG] Siguard

Ikrit wrote: »

Does this info account for any issues in event packs, such as receiving Augment Picard instead of Admiral Picard during the Borg mega-event?

I didn't include that data at all.

(KM) Yojimbo

According Siguard stats in the 302 pulls getting 2 event crew in same 10x pull never happened. As he received 302 event crew. The chances of getting 2 legendary crew in same pull must be astronomical.

DScottHewitt wrote: »

(CSF) Jesus Is Lord wrote: »

Oh great...those odds don't look so good for me...thank you though.

But, didn't someone just pull TWO Da Vincis in ONE Ten Pull in the Event Pack for this week

[TUFG] Doctor X

I was able to find at least one time that I received 2 legies

[QH] He-Who-Meows

I pulled double event legendaries only once... and I’ve done a lot of pulls...

[TUFG] Siguard

I feel I need to clarify, the "Other 5* Crew" is a separate 5* Crew member not at the beginning of the pull or the end of the pull. Those two spots are reserved for the "guaranteed drop crew" (the 4* or 5* crew that is guaranteed in every 10x pull).

So from the data, you'll get an "other 5* crew" every 34ish pulls and of those pulls, there's a 10% chance of getting a guaranteed 5* crew. So this sort of thing should happen at least once within 340ish pulls. ...I could be wrong there, I'm not great at statistics. 74% of the population knows that ;D