Can someone please refresh my memory?

(CSF) Jesus Is Lord [••••]

As i recall skill checks increase in difficulty by 1000 every 2 hours right? So at 7 hours a skill at 8000 should pass right? (Below screenshot) Clearly so.


Well then why 1 hour later have i begun failing that same skill checks?


NOTE: I had to scroll up to find the examples above, that is why the am and progress meter are identical.

PenguinJim

I don't think that's ever been true. From the (player-driven) data, it seems to be each hour increases difficulty by ~1200 - but it's not quite that simple, as it's possible to fail a check in a particular skill, and then pass a check in the same skill on the next test, so it seems there's some sort of pass/fail gray area transition between always-pass and always-fail.

(CSF) Jesus Is Lord [••••]

PenguinJim wrote: »

I don't think that's ever been true. From the (player-driven) data, it seems to be each hour increases difficulty by ~1200 - but it's not quite that simple, as it's possible to fail a check in a particular skill, and then pass a check in the same skill on the next test, so it seems there's some sort of pass/fail gray area transition between always-pass and always-fail.

Wow...db even infected skill checks with rng problems...

Peachtree Rex

I can attest to the variance. I have seen a skill pass, then fail, then start passing again. There's a theory out there that there is actually a proficiency roll of sorts, but it would be very difficult to prove the exact mechanism.

I believe a further-refined estimate on the skill increases were 1250 per hour. So, a 7:38 skill check would be, approximately, 9541. Your mileage may vary. My estimates have been pretty accurate using these assumptions.

Hungry Dog DDM

I'm pretty sure it's rng. Yes, you have a "better" chance and you "should" pass, but it's definitely not a guarantee. Otherwise you would never fail a check in the first 4 hours, and we know that we all do.

Peachtree Rex

Hungry Dog wrote: »

I'm pretty sure it's rng. Yes, you have a "better" chance and you "should" pass, but it's definitely not a guarantee. Otherwise you would never fail a check in the first 4 hours, and we know that we all do.

I don't think this is entirely true. I rarely fail in the first few hours unless it's a skill I've intentionally tanked (like MED when it isn't primary or secondary).

[SSR] GTMET

Speculation is that your proficiency actually plays a part in your actual roll for each pass/fail, it just displays your average

Jhamel

It is RNG, because I had hazards fail at sub 8h with over 10k points and then pass again at around 8.5h ... so yeah, it's all RNG, hehe.